Numerical
Bank has a €5m position in 3 a year zero coupon bond with face value €5,955,080. The bond is trading at an YTM of 6%. The historical mean change in daily yield is 0.00% with a standard deviation of 8 basis points (0.0008).
a) What is the duration, and the modified duration of the bond?
Solution: Duration of Zero Coupon Bond is maturity of period of Bond. Hence duration is 3 Year.Modified Duration= Duration/(1+YTM)
=3/(1+.06)
=2.83
b) What is the maximum adverse bad daily yield change given that we do not want no more than 5% change that yield changes will be greater than this maximum?
Solution: In respect of 5% change in yield, means it can lie from +5% to -5%, taking 90% confidence interval , maximum adverse yield change = 1.65*.0008 = .00132
c) What is the daily earning at risk for this bond? Use modified duration.
Solution:%change in price= -(modified duration ) X yield change
= -2.83*.00132 => .0037356
=50,00,000*.0037356==>>18678
d) What is the 10 day VaR for this bond?
Solution:Daily Volatility = € 18678
for 10 Day of Volatility = Daily Volatility X √10 =>18678* √10 ==>59065.02
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